Millions of Rwandans began voting in presidential and parliamentary elections on Monday, with the African nation's leader Paul Kagame set to cruise to victory and extend his iron-fisted rule for another five years.
Rwanda's de facto leader since the end of the 1994 genocide and president since 2000, Kagame faces only two challengers after several prominent critics were barred from standing.
The line-up is a carbon copy of the last election in 2017, when Kagame obliterated his rivals with almost 99% of the vote, and there is little doubt about the outcome this year.
Frank Habineza, leader of the Democratic Green Party, and independent Philippe Mpayimana were the only two candidates approved to run against Kagame out of eight applicants.
With 65% of the population aged under of 30, Kagame — who is running for a fourth term — is the only leader most Rwandans have ever known.
The 66-year-old is credited with rebuilding a traumatised nation after the genocide unleashed by Hutu extremists that killed around 800,000 people, mainly Tutsis but also Hutu moderates.
But rights groups accused his regime of stifling the media and political opposition with arbitrary detentions, killings and enforced disappearances.
Abroad, it faces allegations of stoking instability in the neighbouring Democratic Republic of Congo, where a UN report says Rwandan troops are fighting alongside M23 rebels in the troubled east.
More than nine million Rwandans are registered to cast their ballot across 2,433 polling stations, with the presidential race being held at the same time as legislative elections for the first time.
'Same results'
Polls opened around 7:am (5am GMT) and counting will begin as soon as they close at 3pm (1pm GMT), with partial results expected to be released as tallying progresses.
Janvier Munyamundu, a 42-year-old driver, lined up before dawn to cast his vote in Kigali.
"I'm very happy that I have voted," he told AFP, adding: "I have confidence that the person I voted for will win."
Gatangaza Bwiza Nelly, 21, is among two million first-time voters in Monday's elections.
The university student told AFP she had "been waiting for this day anxiously."
"It was very easy for me to choose my candidate. I knew who I would vote for," she said, adding that she expected "no cheating" in the polls.
"I believe that the results will be the same as the results in the previous election. It is quite obvious."
'Severe restrictions' on opposition
Kagame won with more than 93% of the vote in 2003, 2010 and 2017 — scoring 98.79% in the most recent election, compared with just 0.48% for Habineza and 0.73% for Mpayimana.
He has overseen controversial constitutional amendments that shortened presidential terms from seven to five years and reset the clock for the Rwandan leader, allowing him to potentially rule until 2034.
Rwandan courts rejected appeals from prominent opposition figures Bernard Ntaganda and Victoire Ingabire to remove previous convictions that effectively disqualified them from Monday's vote.
The election commission also barred high-profile Kagame critic Diane Rwigara, citing issues with her paperwork — the second time she was excluded from running.
Ahead of the election, Amnesty International said Rwanda's opposition faces "severe restrictions... as well as threats, arbitrary detention, prosecution, trumped-up charges, killings and enforced disappearances".
'Too strong'
The imbalance between Kagame and his rivals was evident during the three-week campaign, as the well-oiled PR machine of the ruling Rwandan Patriotic Front (RPF) swung into high gear.
Pennants on cars, flags, posters and banners displayed along roads, the red, white and blue colours of the ruling party and its slogans "Tora Kagame Paul" ("Vote Paul Kagame") and "PK24" "Paul Kagame 2024") are everywhere.
While the World Bank says almost half the population lives on less than $2.15 a day, Kagame has overseen economic growth rates of an average of 7.2% between 2012 and 2022.
In contrast to the vast crowds attending Kagame's rallies, his rivals have struggled to make their voices heard, with barely 100 people showing up to some events.
"It's good to see that people are no longer afraid to listen to other candidates," Mpayimana said, but added: "We are facing a candidate who is too strong."
In the parliamentary election, 589 candidates are chasing 80 seats in the Chamber of Deputies.
Of those, 53 are elected by universal suffrage. The RPF currently holds 40 seats and its allies 11, while Habineza's party has two MPs.
Another 24 spots are reserved for women, two for youths and one for people with disabilities. All candidates for these seats must be independent, and indirect elections will be held on Tuesday.
AFP